Knowing the odds of an active storm were great -- we've had one on that day every year for the last several decades -- we initiated a forecasting challenge back on September 3. We asked: Which Atlantic storm(s) will be active on September 10, at any time during the day, EDT?
Some 120 storm chasers participated, with 28 Cruise Critic members (or 23 percent) guessing correctly that Fred, and Fred alone, would be active. From that pool, we drew one lucky winner at random to win a Cruise Critic Cruise Essentials Pack (the rain poncho being the most apropos item).
And the winner is ... mikeandbecky5! Congratulations on such impressive foreknowledge.
Here's a recap of the rest of the poll results:
Thirty-one wishful thinkers, likely those scheduled to be on Caribbean cruises on September 10, guessed that there'd be no named storm. The vote tallies generally trended downward as storm names moved up in the alphabet -- Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate. Just one lone voter felt that'd we'd reach Peter, some 10 Atlantic storms beyond where we were when the contest began (Erika).
Interestingly, though Fred did carry on tradition by swirling around in the Atlantic on September 10, the peak-season weekend to follow has been surprisingly quiet. Yesterday, Fred was downgraded to a tropical depression; during its life span, the system posed no threat to land or cruise travel. And, so far today, there are no active storms in the Atlantic ... or the Pacific.
Learn more about hurricane season as it pertains to cruise travel in The Hurricane Zone.
--by Dan Askin, Associate Editor